MSTR Daily

Is Microstrategy About to Have a Short Squeeze? | Chapter 11

What is MSTR's current short interest and days to cover? Could we see a Bitcoin-induced short squeeze in the next 12-15 months, let's investigate. Also, can any company catch up to MSTR's 300,000 bitcoin holdings? I believe there are only 3 companies who could. We also discuss Bitcoin breaking out into a new bull market with all time highs in Q4.
 
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Disclosure: Matt is long MSTR stock and derivatives; not investment advice. $MSTR $BTC
 

Adam Back: MSTR is "Undervalued", New BlackRock Bitcoin Report | Chapter 10

In this video we discuss BlackRock's Head of Digital Assets recent appearance on Bloomberg along with their new Bitcoin report titled Bitcoin: A Unique Diversifier. Is Bitcoin a risk on or risk off asset and how should investors handle its volatility? We also discuss how MSTR is the best performing large cap stock in the US equity market.

$313 Price Target, 2025 Catalysts, Massive China Money Printing | Chapter 9

In this video, we discuss the massive catalysts for Microstrategy this cycle. Many of these have already been accomplished during MSTR's rise in the stock price, but there are many catalysts to come like being added to the S&P 500 and the US government debt ceiling debate. The Chinese government and PBOC have also announced new monetary and fiscal stimulus to save their real estate and stock markets.
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$1.01B Upsized Convertible Note at 0.625%, 7,420 Bitcoin Purchased For $458M | Chapter 8

Microstrategy's most recent convertible note offering was upsized once again from $700M to $875M to $1.01B at an interest rate of 0.625%. They have also been draining their ATM offering and purchased 7,420 Bitcoin for $458M. Is Bitcoin finally breaking out to new all time highs?
 
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$875,000,000 Convertible Note at 0.625% Interest Rate | Chapter 7

Microstrategy's new convertible debt offering was over subscribed from $700 million to $875 million at an interest rate of 0.625%. This is an incredible way to get rid of old debt, buy Bitcoin, and keep annual interest expense low.

*NEW* $700,000,000 Senior Convertible Debt Offering Explained | Chapter 6

Today we talk about Microstrategy's new senior convertible debt offering and how it will be used to pay off an old loan with an interest rate of 6.125% which cleans up the balance sheet and gives room for around 1.5 billion dollars of new converts if they can be issued into high stock volatility at an interest rate of around 1%. We also go over the Fed cutting rates for the first time since 2022 and starting with a 50 basis point cut.
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$100,000 Bitcoin by February 2025 and Bitcoin Just Bottomed ($52,500) | Chapter 5

Microstrategy and Bitcoin had a very weak Friday with Bitcoin falling to $52,500. Even though September continues to be a bearish month, both MSTR and Bitcoin had a strong rebound on Monday as Bitcoin looks to post a bullish Q4 and Q1 with October and February being Bitcoin's best months of the year. Saylor also went on Squawk box to talk about Bitcoin, and how MSTR is the best performing large cap equity in the US over the last 4 years.
 
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Timestamps:
0:00 MSTR Market Update
1:14 Bitcoin's Seasonality
4:23 4 Bullish Charts
6:05 Saylor on CNBC Squawk Box
10:20 American HODL's reaction to Saylor on CNBC
Disclosure: Matt is long MSTR stock and derivatives; not investment advice. $MSTR $BTC

Cantor Fitzgerald: $194 Overweight BUY Target | Chapter 4

In this video we discuss the BLS jobs numbers this morning with unemployment falling my 10 basis points and the odds of a 25 basis point vs. a 50 basis point cut in September for the Federal Reserve. Dr. Jeff Ross also says that Bitcoin is on a fire sale with low prices usually taking place in August before a solid Q4.
 
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Timestamps:
0:00 Unemployment Rate Drops
1:32 MSTR and Tether Daily Buy Rate
2:00 Bitcoin Below the STH Cost-Basis
2:42 Cantor Fitzgerald Price Target and BUY Rating
3:12 More Institutions and Funds BUY MSTR
3:30 Dr. Jeff Ross BULLISH Post-September
 
Disclosure: Matt is long MSTR stock and derivatives; not investment advice.

$1000 Price Target 2025, FTX $16B Distributions, Yield Curve Uninverted | Chapter 3

In this episode we talk about the recently announced FTX creditor distributions taking place in Q4 of 2024. There will be approximately $16,250,000,000 returned to investors. This will be a massive catalyst for Bitcoin and Microstrategy. The 2Y/10Y yield curve un-inverted for the second time in the last two years casting fears of a recession in the coming months. Finally, we discuss my $1000 price target for EOY 2025 and the many catalysts on the horizon for this stock.
 
Timestamps:
0:00 FTX Giving $16 Billion to Investors
2:51 $1000 Price Target Analysis
8:05 2Y/10Y Uninverted
4:50 Microstrategy's Bitcoin Journey
7:32 The Future for MSTR
 
Disclosure: Matt is long MSTR stock and derivatives; not investment advice. $MSTR $BTC

$2,000,000,000 Stock Offering Update, mNAV Growing, QE Starts in October | Chapter 2

In this video we discuss the recent $2B ATM S-3 that MSTR filed on August 1st and when it may be completed by. The average Bitcoin price so far while the ATM has been open is $59,000. We also discuss the mNAV growth trajectory and the possible start of QE in September/October 2024.
 
Timestamps:
0:00 The Start of MSTR Daily
0:26 mNAV Evaluation
2:10 $2B ATM Update
4:54 33,000 New Bitcoin
5:05 Q4 QE Bull Market Begins
5:30 Dr. Jeff Ross Liquidity and Bitcoin Analysis
 
Disclosure: Matt is long MSTR stock and derivatives; not investment advice.